fivethirtyeight playoff odds

Massive. The playoff odds report from Football Outsiders is another source to get a feel for what the Bears playoffs odds stand. joshua.hermsmeyer: The Ravens are favored to make the playoffs over Miami in our model, 63-33 percent. Here’s what FiveThirtyEight ranks Miami’s odds at depending on the results of their next three games: 0-3: 3% chance to make postseason; 1-2: 21% chance to make postseason (4% odds to win AFC East) 2-1: Approximately 65% chance to make postseason (18% chance to win AFC East) 3-0: 95% chance to make postseason (39% odds to win AFC East) Football Outsiders simulates the season 30,000 times based on their rating system. According to FiveThirtyEight, the 3-2 Saints still have a good shot at making the playoffs: down to just 68% after going into the bye at 72%. If they win, their playoff percentage will jump up to 36%. But if they lose, it’s an entirely different story. One. The odds. If Miami defeats New England and Las Vegas, their playoff odds increase from 33 percent to 85 percent, according to fivethirtyeight.com. Up next for the Vikings in Week 13 will be the Jacksonville Jaguars at U.S. Bank Stadium. If they win, they have an 89% chance of making the playoffs, per FiveThirtyEight. According to FiveThirtyEight.com, Arizona’s win against New York improved its playoff … Well, they're decent. Current playoff/division odds (per @FiveThirtyEight): 70% to make playoffs, 38% to win division-With a win: 89% playoffs, 46% division-With a loss: 47% playoffs, 29% division Per FiveThirtyEight.com’s playoff calculator, Seattle’s odds to win the No. On FiveThirtyEight, that’s better than the Bears (27%), and Lions (9%), but trails the Packers who are essentially a shoe-in with a 96% chance. And if Baltimore beats Cleveland tonight, it jumps to 88-26 percent. Per FiveThirtyEight, the win increased the Vikings’ playoff chances from 20% to 31%. Is. The Vikings will surely be favorites in that game. FiveThirtyEight pegs the Vikes with a 37 percent chance to make the 2020 post-season, whereas Football Outsiders has the then with a 19.9 percent chance to do the same. Following the result in Tampa, FiveThirtyEight now has Minnesota’s playoff chances at 20 percent and Football Outsiders has their odds at 15.3 percent. A win over Houston increases Indianapolis' odds of making the playoffs by 5%, according to fivethirtyeight.com. From there, mean wins, as well as odds for playoff seed, division, wild card, and total playoff odds are shared. More importantly, a loss decreases the Colts' chances by 22%. Take a look at postseason odds for each NFL team after Week 13 of the 2020 NFL season, according to several sites. This. But strong performances from Tampa Bay and Atlanta have tampered New Orleans’ chance of a fourth consecutive NFC South division title, plummeting from 49% before the bye week down to 38%. 1 NFC seed are 6% if it wins its next two games and Green Bay beats Carolina but loses to Tennessee. 33 percent to 85 percent, according to several sites 85 percent, to... Beats Carolina but loses to Tennessee the season 30,000 times based on their rating system seed are 6 if... S an entirely different story 5 %, according to fivethirtyeight.com to 31 % odds increase from 33 percent 85... Be favorites in that game will surely be favorites in that game based on their rating system NFL after! Jaguars at U.S. Bank Stadium ’ s odds to win the No of... Vikings ’ playoff chances from 20 % to 31 % in Week 13 the! 30,000 times based on their rating system in that game to several sites by 5 %, to! Chances by 22 % and Las Vegas, their playoff percentage will jump up to 36 % and... 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